May 22, 2009
California’s budget fiasco, direct democracy, and Proposition 13
By now you’ve probably heard about California’s budget fiasco. If not, here’s a snippet from a recent piece:
California faces its day of fiscal reckoning – Yahoo! News
SACRAMENTO, Calif. – The day of reckoning that California has been warned about for years has arrived. The longest recession in generations and the defeat this week of a package of budget-balancing ballot measures are expected to lead to state spending cuts so deep and so painful that they could rewrite the social contract between California and its citizens. They could also force a fundamental rethinking of the proper role of government in the Golden State.…
California is looking at a budget deficit projected at more than $24 billion when the new fiscal year starts in July. That is more than one-quarter of the state’s general fund.
…
The gap has two primary causes: The state has been living beyond its means for years by spending generously on all sorts of programs that the voters, the politicians and the special interests wanted. And the recession has hammered California’s economy.
One of my pet peeves are the people (in other states) who say that this is due to California’s liberal-socialist-inept-Democratic politicians. Well… sort of. But it’s the fault of Republicans too (after all California legislature needs 2/3rds vote on things.)
I think what would surprise most people is that huge swaths of California’s budget is out of the control of politicians. It’s decided on by The People through propositions. Having moved to California, it amazes me how frequently I’m asked to make budgetary decisions for the state. Actually, it appalls me.
One budget decision that The People made in1978 is widely cited as the root cause of many of California’s budgetary woes. Here’s one of the unusual side effects of this decision – the following is a real street in Los Altos:
That’s right… there’s one house that pays 19x as much in property tax as his neighbor.
No this is not a mistake. These are real numbers from Zillow and PropertyShark. These are the actual taxes the different neighbors are paying. This is because of Proposition 13, passed in 1978.
Under Prop 13, property can be taxed at 1% of the assessed value. And the assessed value can only grow at 2% per year – despite what the real world value will be. So… if you bought a $100,000 house in 1978, and it is worth $1,000,000 today – you pay $1,847 per year in property tax, while your new neighbor pays $10,000. Surprise surprise, the numbers in the graphic above demonstrate this!
Oh, and you can pass this tax rate onto your children. So in 2078, the grand child of the person who bought the house will be paying $7,244 per year in property tax to live there. A neighbor who buys in next door (at $174M assuming 7.75% annual appreciation) will be paying $1,744,728. Oh… and this scheme applies to corporations, which can live forever.
Does this tax scheme make any sense to you?
I highly encourage you to read this great piece on how it came to be – how many corporations and politicians warned that it would lead to disaster, and how The People voted for it anyway. The Wikipedia entry has some good documentation on the disastrous consequences of this public decision.
I for one look forwards to a Constitutional Convention to end the State’s proposition happy ways.
UPDATE: Paul Krugman wrote an op-ed piece on this same topic today. Read it here.















